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Boston and Beyond

September 25, 2013

Coakley leads in early gubernatorialual race poll

BOSTON - Attorney General Martha Coakley leads Republican Charles Baker by 13 percentage points, but Baker leads four of the other five potential Democratic opponents, according to poll results released yesterday.

According to Public Policy Polling, which included Congressman Michael Capuano in its field of seven Democrats running for governor, 41 percent of likely Democratic primary voters chose Coakley, with 21 percent selecting Capuano, who Coakley beat in the 2009 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.

Without Capuano in the field of Democrats, Coakley captured 57 percent to 10 percent for her nearest competitor, Treasurer Steven Grossman.

“Martha Coakley’s image has recovered a lot from 2010 and she’s looking like the early front runner for Governor,” said Public Policy Polling President Dean Debnam, in a statement.

Coakley is the latest entrant into the race and Grossman publicly mulled a run for nine months before announcing his intentions in July. Capuano has yet to say whether he will run for governor.

The pollsters surveyed 616 Massachusetts voters, including 324 usual Democratic primary voters, between Sept. 20 and Sept. 23.

While Coakley leads Baker 51-38 and Capuano leads him 42-37, the poll showed Baker with leads over declared Democratic candidates for governor Joe Avellone (40-30), Don Berwick (42-37), Juliette Kayyem (38-31) and Sen. Dan Wolf (37-31). Grossman and Baker were in a virtual tie, with the treasurer edging the businessman 38-37. The poll has a 4-point margin of error, with a 5.4 percent margin of error for the exclusively Democratic Party portion.

U.S. Sen. Ed Markey, who will be up for re-election next year, had a dead-even approval/disapproval rate (39-39), with 58 percent support among Democrats and 75 percent disapproval among Republicans.

While Republicans Bill Weld, the former governor, and Scott Brown, the former U.S. senator, had favorable approval ratios, Brown was the only Republican that did not lose to Markey in the poll, as Weld fell 47-41, Markey’s former special election opponent Gabriel Gomez fell 53-35 and Richard Tisei, who was the GOP’s lieutenant governor nominee in 2010, was beat 54-27.

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