Brown’s election chances hinge on his winning northeastern Massachusetts, Worcester Counter and the South Shore and Cape Cod, areas that were key to his upset victory in 2010, political observers said.
“Scott Brown did well in the working class neighborhoods of the Merrimack Valley,” said Frank Talty, a political science professor at UMass-Lowell and director of its Center for Public Opinion. “He’s going to continue to hold onto that. He’s doing well among independents, and a share of Democrats as well. But I think he has to do well in places like Lowell and Lawrence and Haverhill, where the president generally wins with good margins, and (Congresswoman) Niki Tsongas does well.”
Statewide, several recent polls have shown Warren with a lead ranging between about 2 and 5 percentage points.
The election is Nov. 6.
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Local itemized contributions by community as of Aug. 17 Candidate Andover Haverhill Lawrence Methuen N. Andover Scott Brown $133,355 $12,880 $2,150 $8,365 $47,452 Elizabeth Warren $28,043 $3,395 $150 $1,250 $3,075