EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA

March 31, 2013

Calculating the odds of dying


The Eagle-Tribune

---- — University of California, San Francisco researchers have developed a 12-item index to estimate the chances of someone 50 years old or older living an additional 10 years.

Points are allotted based on age, gender, disease, overall fitness and tobacco use. The greater number of points a person is assigned, the more likely that person will die during the next decade. The goal is to determine which patients should consider preventive interventions.

: AGE

: 60-64 years: 1 point

65-69 years: 2 points

70-74 years: 3 points

75-79 years: 4 points

80-84 years: 5 points

85 or older: 7 points

: Men: 2 points

: Current tobacco use: 2 points

: Low body mass index: 1 point

: Diabetes: 1 point

: Non-skin cancers: 2 points

: Chronic lung disease: 2 points

: Heart failure: 2 points

: Difficulty bathing: 2 points

: Difficulty managing finances: 2 points

: Difficulty walking several blocks: 2 points

: Difficulty pushing or pulling large objects: 1 point