Bill Burt's Pro Picks -- Week 12

Bill Burt says Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) will buck the trend and lead the Browns a rare road victory in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Rick Osentoski, File)

Sunday's picks

NEW ENGLAND 38, N.Y. Jets 13 ... Finally a blowout in New Jersey

Cleveland 23, CINCINNATI 20 ... Done with Bengals

BUFFALO 23, Jacksonville 16 ... Bills defense wins

INDIANAPOLIS 31, Miami 24 ... Colts looking real good

PHILADELPHIA 33, N.Y. Giant 27 ... NFC East title run begins

BALTIMORE 30, Oakland 26 ... Bad football

TAMPA BAY 31, San Francisco 27 ... Really bad football

CAROLINA 33, Seattle 30 ... Panthers can't lose this one

L.A. CHARGERS 51, Arizona 20 ... Big day in L.A.

Pittsburgh 27, DENVER 23 ... Won't be easy

Green Bay 33, MINNESOTA 27 ... Vikes have lost me

Monday night

HOUSTON 27, Tennessee 24 ... Texans eight straight

Home teams in CAPS

Last week: 7-5

Season: 91-59-2