Bill Burt's Pro Picks -- Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston (3) throws a touchdown pass to tight end Cameron Brate (84) during the first half of an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers Sunday, Nov. 25, 2018, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Mark LoMoglio)

Sunday's games

NEW ENGLAND 24, Minnesota 23 ... Lives up to expectations

GREEN BAY 38, Arizona 17 ... Cardinals stay in abyss

ATLANTA 31, Baltimore 27 ... Don't like Ravens

MIAMI 27, Buffalo 17 ... Dolphins sliver of hope

TAMPA BAY 28, Carolina 24 ... Upset of the week

N.Y. GIANTS 27, Chicago 24 ... Bears run out of gas

HOUSTON 31, Cleveland 27 ... Nothing easy for Texans

Denver 23, CINCINNATI 20 ... Flip a coin

Indianapolis 31, JACKSONVILLE 20 ... Jags officially done

PITTSBURGH 33, L.A. Chargers 27 ... Steelers no room for error

L.A. Rams 26, DETROIT 23 ... Closer than you think

Kansas City 41, OAKLAND 27 ... Mahomes MVP run continues

TENNESSEE 27, N.Y. Jets 20 ... Won't be pretty

SEATTLE 30, San Francisco 20 ... Wilson KOs Sherman

Monday night

PHILADELPHIA 40, Washington 20 ... Eagles better romp here

Home teams in CAPS

Last week: 9-3

Season: 100-62-2